Each week I'll be making my picks against the spread confidence style. The lines I'm using will be coming from the Pick 'Em League I do on Yahoo. I'm not sure what the legal disclaimer needs to be here if any, so I'll make up my own. These are meant to be for fun and for fun only! And with that, the picks.
16 points - Houston (-6.5) over Chicago
The team I'm going in both pick 'em and survivor pools this week is Houston. I've barely done any research yet for my FanDuel lineup, but about the one thing I've heard is that everyone is very high on the Texans WR's exploiting a banged-up Bears secondary. If you're following football this week, you've likely heard that too. Josh Sitton or not, I am just very very bearish on the Bears this season. I like Houston at home to roll.
15 points - Los Angeles (-2.5) over San Francisco
Another team that I think is terrible is San Francisco. I think I like the Rams this season upon their return to Los Angeles. I mean we all know that they'll go 7-9 again, but I kind of like them. At least this week.
14 points - Pittsburgh (-3) over Washington
Haven't check the forecast yet for this one but there's no doubt 100 percent chance of rain, right? Just seems like there would be.
13 points - Indianapolis (-3.5) over Detroit
I haven't really bought into the Colts yet this season despite the return of Andrew Luck, but I'll give them the benefit of the doubt at home.
12 points - New Orleans (even) over Oakland
Oakland is a team I like to make the playoffs and I like to do big things this season, but I'm still going with the Saints at home. Derek Carr and Drew Brees will race to throw 500 yards a piece, whoever does first wins.
11 points - Miami (+10.5) over Seattle
There is going to be at least one true shocker this week, and I'll go with this one. Seattle is a Top 3 team in the NFL, Miami has to make the cross country jaunt, and you usually don't take coaches like Adam Gase in their first game. But give me the 'phins at least to cover, and I'll go as far to say that they pull off the upset.
10 points - Green Bay (-4.5) over Jacksonville
This line seems too hard not to take. Jacksonville is a team I've been preaching will win ten games this season, but this won't be one of them. It's going to be Lambeau Field South this weekend right down to the Packers wearing their home green jerseys. Give me the Packers and a touchdown for each of the tight ends (minus Justin Perillo unfortunately).
9 points - Kansas City (+7) over San Diego
Seven seems high especially in week one, and I really like Melvin Gordon this season, but the Chiefs are a good football team, better than people think. They'll get the comfortable win at home.
8 points - Tampa Bay (+3) over Atlanta
I sort of want to change my 10 win Jaguars proclamation and switch it to another Florida team. I am really feeling the Buccanneers this season if for no other reason than Jameis Winston. We only hear the stupid when it comes to this kid, but by all accounts he's become a leader on this football team and the Bucs are buying in. I like Tampa in this one.
7 points - Cleveland (+4) over Philadelphia
Both of these teams are bad, but the Browns will be less bad on this given day. Don't sleep on the Browns! The quest to six wins begins in Philly!
6 points - New York Jets (+2.5) over Cincinnati
Brandon Marshall could catch 200 balls this season, give me Fitz and the Jets.
5 points - New England (+6) over Arizona
I make all of these picks on Yahoo first before I brought them over here and this was the one pick I changed. I'm trying to picture where I'll be at 10pm on Sunday night and what will be on the TV. I'm envisioning a game that Arizona dominates early but then New England crawls their way back. Arizona will still probably win, but it will be close.
4 points - Baltimore (-3) over Buffalo
This already feels like a week 17 snoozer. Ravens.
3 points - Dallas (even) over New York Giants
They're starting a rookie QB and a rookie RB and yet the Cowboys will probably somehow win the NFC East. I really do love the NFC East, despite how much this division is shoved down our throats. All of these division games are uniquely long and boring but I just love me. The legend of Dak begins Sunday.
2 points - Tennessee (+2) over Minnesota
Losing Teddy Bridgewater cost the Vikings 3-4 wins, grabbing Sam Bradford will give them 1-2 back. But Marcus Mariota is another guy I'm high on. With uncertainty at quarterback this weekend, I like the Titans to step up on defense and I like the running duo of Demarco Murray and Derrick Henry to have their way against a Minnesota defense that is good, but still a little overrated.
1 point - Denver (+3) over Carolina
Stay away from the NFL Opener. Carolina should win this game by 20, but I thought that in the Super Bowl as well. Broncos to at least cover.