A moderately successful Thanksgiving Day catapults us into the rest of the Week 12 picks against the spread, ranked in order of confidence. I spent my biggest three portions on the Thanksgiving Day games, and while I predicted all the favorites to win, which they did, I did not get the Cowboys game right against the spread. Dallas, which was 9-0-1 ATS heading into Thursday, finally lost their first game against the line when they couldn't cover against Washington. But I just pulled out the Detroit victory and the Pittsburgh rout was obvious to see, so all in all not a bad Thanksgiving.
Oh yeah, the family and food. That was nice too.
Speaking of the Cowboys, check out these numbers. Ratings might be down a bit throughout the NFL but the Cowboys having a winning football team is almost making up for any losses the league might be experiencing.
Most watched NFL games in 2016:
1. DAL-WASH: 35.1M viewers
2. DAL-PIT: 28.9M
3. DAL-GB: 28.0M
4. DET-MIN: 27.6M
5. DAL-NYG: 27.5M
A matchup of a couple of 4-6 teams, although they couldn't seem to have less in common. Neither of them are completely out of the hunt, but I'm sure the respective "Done Clubs" in both of their home markets are pretty full. I have to take the Saints here being at home and playing a Rams teams with completely zero offense. Although Todd Gurley did score last week, which is a sign of hope for those who drafted him Top 5 in fantasy. Just four touchdowns on the year for Gurley, and still no 100 yard rushing game! He could get that this week, but I'll take the Saints in a year where the Rams might be lucky just to reach that "7-9 bulls**t".
12 points - Miami (-7.5) over San Francisco
This line is probably too high for a team like Miami. Did the morning show with Radio Joe on Friday and he dubbed them the AFC Lions. I like that. I'm going to go with Miami though on account of how terrible the 49ers are, aka the NFC Browns.
11 points - Baltimore (-4.0) over Cincinnati
Man, you think the NFC North is bad, the AFC North has them beat. A win keeps Baltimore level with the Steelers atop the division, so give me the Ravens at home.
10 points - Denver (-3.0) over Kansas City
Could go either way but I like Denver's defense at Mile High? Invesco? Hold on.....
.... oh yeah it's Sports Authority Field now. Whatever, I like Denver's defense at Mile High.
9 points - Tennessee (-5.5) over Chicago
Again, the line might be too high but the opponent is just that bad.
8 points - San Diego (-1.5) over Houston
San Diego's rough start to the season will keep them out of the playoffs, but they are a better team than the Texans no matter what the venue.
7 points - New England (-9.0) over New York Jets
The run on favorites continue.
6 points - Jacksonville (+6.0) over Buffalo
And my first underdog of the weekend (Thursday included). I like Buffalo to win but to me, this has the makings of a close game. Jacksonville will come up short late, per usual, and the Bills will crawl their way to 6-5.
5 points - Carolina (+3.5) over Oakland
I'm so high on Oakland and if this was on the road for them I'd probably take them (5-0 on the road, 1-0 on neutral fields). I sense an upset though.
4 points - Tampa Bay (+5.5) over Seattle
Seattle wins a game that will be much closer than the score indicates.
3 points - Arizona (+4.0) over Atlanta
I'm just throwing darts now.
2 points - New York Giants (-6.5) over Cleveland
I probably should have put more than two points on the Giants here, but if the Browns are going to get a win this season, it would be against a guy like Eli Manning, wouldn't it?