Before we get to the picks, one more reminder that our 10th Annual WSSP Toy Drive has entered the #OnlineOvertime! In honor of celebrating our Toy Drive for a full decade, we're looking to do just a little bit more in years past and have extended the deadline through the weekend.
You can donate here - bit.ly/DonateToCHW
I've pledged to donate $1 for every point the Packers score on Sunday against Houston, hope to get at least a few people to join me!!!
Moving on towards the picks, again these are done against the spread each week and I rank them in order in confidence, with the spread based off of the confidence pool I use in a Yahoo league. I'm doing fairly decent but there is a guy in first place that I need to catch up to, and quickly, and some of these picks will reflect that.
Last Week Thanksgiving: 2-1 Last Week Sunday/Monday: 7-5-1 Year-to-Date: 85-85-1 (.500!)
15 points - Green Bay (-6.5) over Houston
I was consistently getting burned on the Packers so for the last month I would bet no more than one confidence point on the result of their game. But, screw it. They're my favorite team, I'm an NFL OWNER!, and I do look at this line and think that Aaron Rodgers should be able to be seven points better than Brock Osweiler, no matter what the defense they face would be. Granted, this could be a quick overreaction to a team that is no better than there 5-6 record would indicate, but I guess we'll know more on Sunday. THE PACK IS BACK!
14 points - Detroit (+5.5) over New Orleans
These next two games are the two games I bet my partner Chuck on, so let's put my mouth where my money is. Detroit's games are all within seven points, so even if they lose I figure they can keep it close. But let's not overlook the Lions, they control their own destiny in the NFC North and as bad as that divison is, there's something to be said for being in first place during the first week of December (unless you're Houston, obviously).
13 points - Seattle (-6.5) over Carolina
Carolina's season has slipped away at 4-7. What they were able to do so succesfully last season in winning games that come down to the wire seems to be impossible for them this season. I don't think it ever gets that close on Sunday Night Football.
12 points - Buffalo (+3.0) over Oakland
Okay, I'm very high on Oakland. And I like them better on the road than I do at home this season. But this is a home game and they are essentially a pick 'em if you consider the three point bump a home team gets. So something is up here. Buffalo is a quiet 6-5 and this is my upset of the week, in that I don't even believe it myself. But let's roll the dice here.
11 points - Denver (-5.0) over Jacksonville
I have officially paid Mike Wickett the $50 we bet that Jacksonville would be a ten win team this season, and they were used to purchase toys for our toy drive. DONATE HERE!
10 points - New England (-13.5) over Los Angeles
I'm with Eric Dickerson, Jeff Fisher has to have naked pictures of somebody.
9 points - Chicago (-1.0) over San Francisco
8 points - Atlanta (-3.5) over Kansas City
Atlanta is a team that I never want to admit when they are good, but I'm not sure why that is. They are 7-4, they have a great offense, but I will continue to underestimate them at every turn. I'm going to go against my unexplained bias here and take them to beat a very impressive Chiefs team. Going to give Atlanta the benefit of the doubt being at home, really.
7 points - Philadelphia (-1.5) over Cincinnati
The Eagles are not a good football team. But the Bengals are worse. This is finally the year that the seat gets too hot for Marvin Lewis.
6 points - Pittsburgh (-6.0) over New York Giants
Fluky Giants Year alert! Give me the Steelers at home against a team that is somehow 8-3. This Giants team, man. They beat the Cowboys but lost to Green Bay. WHAT ARE THEY??
5 points - Arizona (-2.5) over Washington
Rooting for a tie to give both teams their second tie of the season. If Arizona does win this though and strings a few more together, this is could a key game down the stretch as these two teams, and Seattle, all have ties in the NFC. The ties haven't come into as much play as I thought they would quite yet because Arizona has been losing more often than they've been winning. But I'll take them at home here.
4 points - Miami (+3.0) over Baltimore
This seems like it could be the 11:30am Wild Card Saturday Game in one month's time.
3 points - New York Jets (+2.5) over Indianapolis
I think both these teams are bad.
2 points - San Diego (-3.5) over Tampa Bay
I think both these teams are good! But give me the home team again against a cross country traveling Buccaneers squad.
1 point - Dallas (-3.0) over Minnesota
That's now two straight games the Cowboys haven't covered after going 9-0-1 against the spread to start the season.