My partner Chuck Friemund and I went a little crazy during the final hour of our show on Friday and started throwing $25 bets around like nothing. The first four games are the games that we bet on, and I'm going with all the favorites. That, and the rest of the action upcoming this week ranked confidence pool style.
16 points - Green Bay (-6.5) over Minnesota
As I'm writing this, I see the news that the Vikings plane slid off the runway while approaching the gate at the airport. Glad everyone is okay. It has officially been winter for not even two days and it's already been a dreadful one. Hold on... I have to go scrape the dish so that I can watch the Bucks.
Okay, dish cleared. Anyway, I like the Packers here. Leading up to week two I was very confident and somewhat cocky in proclaiming that Green Bay would snipe the Vikings in their home opener, and I had a terrible time facing the fact that I was wrong. But with the way Minnesota is playing as of late, I have to think that the Packers are at least a touchdown better than this team, especially now that they get to host the game. I'm going Green Bay 31, Minnesota 16, which would be plenty enough to cover.
15 points - Pittsburgh (-4.5) over Baltimore
I really like Pittsburgh on Sunday, bolsted by the fact that Ben Roethlisberger is AVERAGING more than three touchdowns a game at home this season. Stack the Steelers for me in Fanduel and let me squeeze another $25 out of Freems.
14 points - Houston (-1.0) over Cincinnati
Admittedly, I watched Chris Simms do one of those weird videos where three cameras are on him but he never looks directly in to one and every word he says also pops up on the screen. He was high on Tom Savage and I'm taking the bait.
13 points - Kansas City (-3.5) over Denver
I'm not that confident about this one but this was the final bet I made with Chuck so I need to put my money where my mouth is. Kansas City has been playing well but they are also winning games late that could go either way. The last time these two played they needed a field goal to clank off the upright to avoid a likely tie. Could be close, but I'll go with the Chiefs.
12 points - Dallas (-7.0) over Detroit
I bet this line tightens by Monday as a lot of people are assuming that Dallas will just start resting their starters. But honestly, a team with Tony Romo and Darren McFadden/Alfred Morris is still better than the Lions as of late. The injuries have been too much for them. They were able to get past the banged up backfield with the play of Matthew Stafford, but the injury to his hand might cost them their season.
11 points - Tennessee (-4.5) over Jacksonville
I don't know how the Titans are still alive after their two point conversion stunt of a week ago, but good for them for taking a risk, seeing it not pay off, yet still overcoming. Jacksonville is bad so they will lose.
10 points - Oakland (-3.5) over Indianapolis
Doubts have been creeping in about the Raiders but I like them to take care of a deflated Colts team (thin Deflategate reference not intended) which needs a lot to go right for them to make the playoffs, because of the Texans and Titans wins last week.
9 points - Chicago (+3.0) over Washington
I like the Bears to grab this one from Washington. They are playing spirited football and they kind of have a lot of weapons, if last week against Green Bay is any indication. The Kirk Cousins train in Washington would derail with a loss here. I think management wants to not have to pay Kirk Cousins a ton of money and they may get their wish should the Hogs stumble out of the playoff race with a loss here.
8 points - Atlanta (-2.5) over Carolina
There will be a solid argument to give the MVP to Aaron Rodgers, but I don't think he'll get more votes than Matt Ryan. Rodgers has two in his back pocket and year after year there seems to be this desire to get Matt Ryan the award. I swear, every year after like week 3 it's Matt Ryan leading the MVP race even though everyone has about the same stats. But he is a good quarterback and he'll lead his team to a win here.
7 points - New England (-16.5) over New York Jets
Shocked at this line honestly, I know the Jets are struggling but I'm just surprised they got so bad so quick.
6 points - Los Angeles (-3.5) over San Francisco
The Niners better thank the Browns for being miserable because it completely overshadows the story of how San Francisco has lost thirteen straight.
5 points - New Orleans (-3.0) over Tampa Bay
I like Tampa Bay a lot, but they are one year away.
4 points - Seattle (-7.5) over Arizona
Seattle is great at home and bad on the road. They'll have no problem with Arizona. (I know, what terrible analysis. Why even write the sentence? This article is getting shorter as my dish just went out again. I hate snow man. I used to like it as a kid, then progressively began to hate it as I got older, but this year I've become obsessed. Everytime it snows it's all I can talk about. I watch the window like a hawk so that I can clear the driveway as soon as the last snowflake has fallen. So my mind is drifting. Gotta get the Bucks back on my TV).
3 points - Miami (+3.5) over Buffalo
Buffalo reminds me of snow so screw them!
2 points - San Diego (-6.0) over Cleveland
I'm apprehensive about this pick, but I'll go with the Chargers. I did not think the Browns would actually go 0-16 but now they are just two games away. I can envision Cleveland picking up a win this weekend, and it certainly wouldn't surprise me if they did, but it's not the smart pick.
1 point - New York Giants (-2.5) over Philadelphia