As always, these are picks against the spread that Yahoo! posts on Thursday every week for confidence leagues. My confidence points are attached to each pick. And disclaimer that these predictions are for entertainment purposes only! Disclaimer that I am entitled to change my mind about them if new circumstances present themself without being held to the stake! Disclaimer I'm only mediocre at this! Disclaimer that I do not take the time to profread these columns.
Last Week: 8-8 Overall: 16-16
16 points - Dallas (-7) over Chicago
Maybe I'm underestimating the effect that Brian 'The Destroyer' Hoyer will have on this anemic Bears offense, but this is more about how much I like the Cowboys to roll at home on Sunday Night Football. I'm expecting a big night out of Ezekiel Elliot and have set my Fanduel lineups accordingly.
I'm not allowing myself to give up on the Buccanneers nor am I allowing myself to buy into the Rams. I like Jameis a lot, and I like him back at home this week a lot too. Bucs should cover.
12 points - Carolina (-7) over Minnesota
You try not to equate things that are happening in the real world with things that happen on a football field, but I think the city of Charlotte needs their football team to win a football game this week. I think Cam Newton knows he can give the city at least three hours of a distraction and I think the Panthers are going to expose all the problems with Minnesota's defense that apparently only I see.
11 points - Jacksonville (even) over Baltimore
Oh Jacksonville, why do you hurt me so. My team to win 10 games has started 0-2, but I'm not giving up hope they do it. If ten wins is too lofty, a playoff appearance certainly is not. Their division is bad. They play the NFC North teams yet besides Green Bay, and that division is bad. Jacksonville can still achieve all the goals that I have set for them, but it has to start this weekend.
10 points - Washington (+4.5) over New York Giants
When you think you know the NFC East, you don't. Washington on the road in a game they should not win but will.
9 points - Seattle (-9.5) over San Francisco
I really want to take the 49ers here but in Seattle, I'm going to side with the Seahawks. Seattle fans have to be going through the same sort of panic that Packers fans are with how poorly they've played in their first two games, but I think the 49ers will be the cure to heal all wounds.
8 points - Oakland (+1.5) over Tennessee
Oakland feels like a team that could go 8-0 on the road and 3-5 at home. Give me the Raiders in Nashville.
7 points - Detroit (+7.5) over Green Bay
The Packers certaintly have no business covering in this game. Whether they will win or not is another story. The Lions are beat up but Matthew Stafford under Jim Bob Cooter has been nothing sort of incredible. He's thrown 23 touchdowns and just three interceptions since he was acquainted with his new offensive coordinator. With the monkey of not winning in Wisconsin off their back, I like the Lions to not only cover but to make things very difficult on Packers fans next week as we sink into the reality of a 1-2 record heading into the bye week.
6 points - Arizona (+4.5) over Buffalo
I have no recollection or have I ever seen video of these two teams playing. This is also the point of the column where I get lazy with my analysis.
5 points - Cleveland (-10.0) over Miami
I like the Dolphins to win but I like the Browns to cover because
4 points - San Diego (+2.5) over Indianapolis
I think the Colts are overrated. I think Andrew Luck was annointed as too good, too soon. And for whatever reason, I see the Chargers coming in to enemy terrority and sending the Colts down to an 0-3 start.
3 points - Houston (even) over New England
2 points - New York Jets (+2.5) over Kansas City
Or the other could happen, this is the hardest game of the week to pick for me, thus just the two confidence points.
1 point - New Orleans (-3.0) over Atlanta
I'll be watching the debates Monday so that has made me not care about this game in any way, shape or form.