Chuck and I (call him Freems) go through our picks on air each week at 9:30am on Friday mornings, and we were - to use one of our favorite words this week - flabbergasted to see that the line for this game was set this high. Actually, the line we used on air was found at ESPN and it was in favor of the Bills by a nine point margin. Are we missing something here? Sure, the bills have been playing better as of late, but nine points is pretty steep. It must be a Colin Kaepernick related thing, as technically you could consider him a backup quarterback on the road traveling across the country against a defense that is supposed to be not terrible. But the line is too high. I'm not sure if San Fran will win, but I do expect this to be a high scoring game and I like the Niners to at least cover.
14 points - Oakland (-1) over Kansas City
Oakland is a team that I have been loving on the road this season and that has paid off nicely. But I still like them at home against a Chiefs team that has not been living up to the lofty expectations of some. Amidst the rumors that they could be on the move to Las Vegas soon, I'm going to play my cards now and forecast an Oakland victory.
13 points - Jacksonville ( 2.5) over Chicago
I didn't want to do a gambling themed pun for the Raiders game, but I am a weak person and take the easiest joke possible when it is presented. Oh and also, the Bears suck.
12 points - Green Bay (-4) over Dallas
I grew up in Wisconsin. I have lived in Wisconsin my whole life. I like aka love the Packers. So it's hard at times to pick these games objectively even if "that's my job". So what I try to do, and this is a point that I don't think I communicate well enough, is I try to picture myself as some dude living somewhere that has no affliation to the Packers. Follow me here. Let's say I'm some 32 year old dude in the hills of West Virginia that loves the NFL. What am I seeing this week? A lot of talk about how Mike McCarthy is mad at reporters and a lot of praise about how Dak Prescott is the second coming of Roger Staubach. Well, for those reasons, I'm taking the Packers. The national tide seems to be going towards Dallas so I'm going to counteract that. It's at Lambeau, and that's enough for me. Added wrinkle of Brett Favre in attendance and the alleged story about how Aaron's first words to Brett were "Good Morning, Grandpa" and I think we might be in for a big Rodgers day. Good Morning, Grandpa needs to be your fantasy football team name for years to come, by the way.
11 points - Denver (-3.5) over San Diego
I can now go back to picking against Denver for they have wronged me so.
10 points - Carolina (-3.0) over New Orleans
Carolina does not start 1-5. Carolina does not start 1-5. Carolina does not start 1-5.
9 points - Detroit (-3.0) over Los Angeles
Okay, those are the games I feel pretty good about. The following are games that I feel terrible about. There are some really tough lines this week. The Lions are at home, the Rams are playing well, and this game is pretty much even. But I'm higher on the Lions yet than most, so give me Stafford here.
8 points - Philadelphia (-2.5) over Washington
My co-host Chuck is big on the mantra that if you have a home underdog facing a division opponent, you take the home underdog. I am more towards the theory that the NFC East never plays out how you would expect so I'm taking the Eagles here.
7 points - Pittsburgh (-7.5) over Miami
Again, tough lines. I like the Steelers but that line is too high. Still, I'd ride Big Ben against a broken Ryan Tannehill.
6 points - New England (-8.5) over Cincinnati
This line is outrageous too, but Tom Brady be damned.
5 points - Seattle (-6.0) over Atlanta
Okay so is Atlanta good now or what? I'm actually getting tired of Atlanta. Matt Ryan, Julio Jones, cast of characaters, coach who's name I can never remember and always think they still have Mike Smith (Bart, it's Dan Quinn). Is it their colors? Is it a weird bias I have against Atlanta? I don't know, but I don't like the Falcons. I don't hate them, but I don't like them. But why???? I really don't know. I mean, I detest Seattle, but. Okay. Now I've lost my train of thought. Seattle?
4 points - Cleveland ( -7.0) over Tennessee
Cleveland might find a way to lose by 6.999999999, but this spread of 7 is too much. Big baseball win for The Cleve tonight, by the way (I'm PC man, sorry, I don't like saying their teamname. Their mascot is wildly offensive. It's the beta male in me). I hope they go up 3-1 and lose the series.
3 points - Arizona (-7.5) over New York Jets
Is John Brown worth starting aka rostering on fantasy teams anymore. DM me @winksthinks on Twitter if you want to have an hour plus conversation about John Brown's fantasy value.
2 points - New York Giants (-3.0) over Baltimore
1 point - Houston (-1.0) over Indianapolis
The Colts are bad, but the Texans are less bad. And I orginally typed the Astros here. Actually it was the Astors. I'm going to bed now. Bottoms up.