It's a simple column, really. My frenemy Chuck Friemund and I make picks against the spread every Friday at 9:35am on The FAN. I then enter those picks into a Yahoo! pick 'em league I belong to and rank my picks with confidence points, and then I share them with you!
HUGE disclaimer though. I did get someone asking me when these picks would be posted (later and later every week it seems) as he is going to Vegas. Okay, dude. All the caution in the world. Use these for fun and to help put you over the edge if you're looking for advice, but also ask the first homeless guy as you walk out of the casino. Don't lay down too much money on these!
If you do though, I've been batting around .500. Tough week last week though.
Last Week: 5-8-1 Year to Date: 45-44-2
15 points - Denver (-7.0) over Houston
It's the Brock Osweiler bowl! Houston had a nice comeback win against Indy last week on Sunday Night Football, but Brocksweiler has not been playing up to that contract. I really do think John Elway is a quarterback whisperer, although the Broncos could have won last year's Super Bowl with Tim Tebow instead of that Peyton Manning. But Elway wants to show he made the right decision, and you can bet this General Manager has been more involved in any aspect he can be this week. The Broncos are my favorite pick this week, looking to rebound after a couple of losses.
14 points - Baltimore (even) over New York Jets
Huh? I know this game is in New York (Jersey) but am I missing something? Baltimore is a better team than the Geno Smith lead Jets right? Hey look, I thought the Jets might be able to be a playoff team but Fitzpatrick hoodwinked me as much as he did the Jets faithful. This seems like a line that Vegas is begging you to take. And I will!
13 points - Washington (even) over Detroit
My theory on the NFC East is that no matter what happens, all the teams in the division will beat up on each other and all finish between 9-7 and 7-9. That looks to change this year based on the early returns. Washington! How about these guys? Starting 0-2 and then ripping off four in a row. NFC East logic would have you believe that the Nicknames That Shall Not Be Named will blow it, but Detroit Lions logic tells you that you take Washington here.
12 points - Atlanta (-6.5) over San Diego
San Diego has deserved a better fate for how they've played, but Atlanta is the real deal. A nice little tune up before they kick the Packers ass next weekend.
11 points - New England (-7.0) over Pittsburgh
A popular pick this week despite being on the road, it's all about Landry Jones in this one. A Pittsburgh win wouldn't surprise me by any means, and I hate going against Pittsburgh after a loss, but give me New England here. It's all about narratives folks! New England's narrative is the dominance of Tom Brady after the suspension, Pittsburgh's is overcoming the adversity of another Big Ben injury stretch. Expect this matchup again come January.
10 points - Kansas City (-6.5) over New Orleans
Another disclaimer that I am writing this column at 11:42pm on a Friday night. The older I get, the more I like staying in on Fridays. Tonight that means hanging out with my good friend Captain Morgan, watching some Warriors/Trail Blazers preseason, listening to pre-2010 Kanye, and writing a picks column. Consider this a long way to apologize for once again not proofreading an article.
Oh, and Chiefs.
9 points - Minnesota (-2.5) over Philadelphia
Sam Bradford's revenge! This logic is simple in this pick. I don't want the Vikings to win but should they I want to benefit from it in some way, no matter how small. That's it! That's my logic! Don't use these picks in Vegas @tehmadman!!!!
8 points - Arizona (-2.0) over Seattle
This could go either way but the Cardinals have been on national television the last two weeks so I feel like I have a better handle on them than I do the Seahawks. Again, the logic in these picks is flawed. Save your money!
7 points - Tennessee (-2.5) over Indianapolis
Man, I just do not like this Colts team. If I was doing Indy sports radio I would be run out of town by now. I think Irsay is a whacko, Grigson is a terrible GM, Luck is overrated, Pagano isn't that smart, and the rest of the team is below average. That loss to the Texans on Sunday night was a disaster for them. Not impressed, give me Chuck's Titans.
6 points - Cleveland (+10) over Cincinnati
The first underdog I've taken in the column, that can't bode well. Cleveland is as bad as ever, but ten points is too much for me.
5 points - Los Angeles (+2.5) over New York Giants
I always thought that it'd be cool if the Packers played in London. A 8:30am start time, Packers football with bloody marys and scrambled eggs, and then the rest of the day to nap and watch football. But if you're a Rams fan out west, this game starts at 6:30am local time! What the hell! That seems wrong. As for the pick, the logic I was going to use to take the Giants was that Odell Beckham Jr shares a last name with English soccer legend David Beckham. That'd be stupid, so I'm going with the Rams (Similar to when I applied for colleges I applied only to UW-Eau Claire and UW-La Crosse. The application to the Eau C was because of a girl, I realized that was dumb, so I went La Crosse. Sometimes the obviously stupid decision really is the wrong one).
4 points - Jacksonville (-1.0) over Oakland
My Oakland theory is that they go 7-1 or 8-0 on the road and 4-4 at home. It's another East Coast jaunt for the Raiders, but I am going to take the Jags here. They can still win 10 games, they still can do it! DUUUVVALLL (most inside joke this column will ever have).
3 points - Tampa Bay (-2.0) over San Francisco
The Niners are bad. Tampa.
2 points - Miami (+3.0) over Buffalo
Buffalo and Washington are on similar trajectories but I am going to go with the home dog in a divisional matchup here. I am starting to believe in Buffalo, but Miami can not be as bad as they look. Actually, now that I'm at the end of the sentence I think they are as bad as they look but it's only for two points, what the hell. I'll stick with the Dolphins.
1 point - Green Bay (-7.5) over Chicago
I actually had this for 11 points before I spooked myself out of it about two hours before game time. Silly me. I totally should have seen Aaron Rodgers throwing 56 times, three Green Bay receivers catching ten or more balls, and Brian Hoyer breaking his arm coming. But hey, it's a point to start of the week!
Bart and his frenemy Freems can be heard 6a-10a Monday through Friday on 105.7 FM The FAN (1250 AM).