Wasn't able to get a column up last week because of reasons and things and stuff, and wouldn't you know it I had my best week of the season. I can't show you proof of this unless I give you my Yahoo password and you look at the pick 'em against the spread confidence pool league that I'm in of which I base this column off of. Although my password is really not hard to guess so I invite you to give it a try if you're bored. Either way, this is the column and these are the picks.
Well, these are the picks I'm submitting to Yahoo anyway. I did picks on The Huddle with Bill Michaels on Thursday and then Chuck and I did our picks on Friday morning on the show and I didn't keep track either time. So let's start from scratch.
Last Week: 9-4 Year to Date: 59-58-2
13 points - Green Bay (-7.0) over Indianapolis
Okay try to follow my logic here. Sometimes there are games where the consenus on something is so weighted that it becomes obvious that it's not going to happen. BUT if the consensus is, let's say, super strong, then I start to feel like, "well yeah, of course it will happen". It's hard to explain but to me it's so obvious that the Packers beat the Colts by at least seven. I'm taking Green Bay 33, Indianapolis 20. Opportunites will be there for the Colts, but at this point I have not felt better about the Packers than I have all season, which is odd to say after a loss. But the Packers are on the path to figuring out their identity, they are going to get healthy again, and they'll have a puncher's chance at this thing when it's all said and done. In the interim, I like them this weekend.
12 points - Seattle (-6.5) over Buffalo
Seattle has not been playing as well as you'd think they would be. The defense is giving up a lot of passing yards and their offense, at least Russell Wilson, is struggling. Maybe if this game was on Sunday I'd feel different but I just envision a rout on Monday night.
11 points - Detroit (+6.0) over Minnesota
Six points??? This where even when you think to start to at least figure out the pattern Vegas has for these games you realize you're far from having it all understood. Minnesota has been playing bad. Detroit's offense has been above average. The teams are trending to where Detroit should be able to at least come to Minnesota and keep it within six. I'm very curious about how this one plays out, and not just for NFC North reasons.
10 points - Tennessee (+5.0) over San Diego
I like San Diego to win to continue their rebound story after a miserable first month, but the line is too high for me. Tennessee is one of those teams that is quietly winning though. Could be a team you hear little about and then Week 17 they're the team flexed to Sunday Night with a playoff seed on the line. Should be a good one hear too in one of the many Eastern Time Zone Team Travels West But Will It Matter With Daylight Saving Time Classics.
9 points - Jacksonville (+9.0) over Kansas City
Kansas City has been good, at home, but Nick Foles? Come on Jacksonville, don't let me down AGAIN!!! Keep it within nine man!
8 points - Cleveland (+8.0) over Dallas
I was going to make this the top pick of the week, as I do have $25 with Freems that Cleveland will win straight up. I've been pulling a lot of bets out lately and I want to test how far I can push the limits. I nailed Joe Callahan being on the active roster to start the season, I called the Cubs coming back from 3-1 down, and I saw the Packers running a read option play coming (despite my partner's embarrassing efforts to backtrack on the claim, and hello Chuck if you're reading this!). So let's test the waters and take the Browns straight up against the NFC's best. Why the hell not.
7 points - Denver (even) over Oakland
Okay I really do like Oakland this season, with my claim being they go something like 8-0 on the road, 4-4 at home. Probably should have been laying money on them since Oakland is currently 5-0 on the road and 1-2 at home. I like them, but I'll take the Broncos here into the dump that is O.co Stadium or whatever the hell it's called.
6 points - New Orleans (-3.0) over San Francisco
You know, I made a reference to the East Coast / Midwest teams traveling to the West Coast as not a big deal because of the extra hour of Daylight Saving Time will benefit these teams traveling. I sort of made that as a joke but I'm gonna go all-in on this. Let's take another traveling team! (the fact that the 49ers are as bad as they are helps me do this as well)
5 points - Carolina (-3.0) over Los Angeles
Let's do it again!
4 points - Philadelphia (+3.0) over New York Giants
Not really sure where to go on this one, but from what I've seen of both teams I guess I just trust the Eagles more?
3 points - Pittsburgh (+2.5) over Baltimore
It really does feel like these games between these two teams are always in primetime, and it's odd to see them play at noon on a Sunday. Haven't seen the latest on Big Ben but I think Pittsburgh at least covers with or without him.
2 points - Miami (-3.5) over New York Jets
Yeah, I don't care enough to know enough or write enough about this one.
LATE - Atlanta (-3.5) vs Tampa Bay
Missed this pick so I'm already one down for the week. For the record I did take Tampa Bay after they were already up 6-0 so I'll own the loss here.
This is the tagline to the article. Bart is on the radio during the week. You'll find him if you try hard enough.